Thursday, July 29, 2010

7/29/2010 - JJG - THE VULCAN REPORT Review of DJUBS GRAINS ETF (JJG) as of Wednesday, July 28, 2010

THE VULCAN REPORT
Review of DJUBS GRAINS ETF (JJG)
as of Wednesday, July 28, 2010


Today's Price Action


Change    1.0700 (2.92%) prices closed higher than they opened.  with strong Bids going into the close.


     MARKET SENTIMENT
  
PulseScan Swing Vix
PulseScan:     17.16
Swing Vix:     18.70


The Market Pulse is positive since it is trading above its zero signal line.The PulseScan crossed below the Swing Vix creating a DOWN Trend Channel as of    7 period(s) ago. RALLY ALERT - (Short-term Market Bottom) Possible Breakout is likely due to strong market pulse projectionsThe Swing Vix is not currently in a topping (above 39) or bottoming (below -39) range.    
A buy or sell signal is generated when the Swing Vix moves out of an overbought/oversold area.  


*The last signal was a Over-Bought Sell  5 period(s) Ago.
The Swing Vix has just reached its lowest value in the last 14 period(s).  This is bearish.The Swing Vix has set a new 14-period low while the security price has not.  This is a bearish divergence. Since the PulseScan leads the market 3-5 days out we will wait to see if downside pressure develops.
      
  *Since the last Swing Vix signal, DJUBS GRAINS ETF's price has increased 1.26% , and has ranged from a high of 38.1000 to a low of 36.5300.


     MOMENTUM


     MARKET TREND - Currently the TREND is VERY-BULLISH - Heavy Accumulation- The UpTrend is still entact with prices holding above trendline support at-  37.5000.


        TREND STRENGTH - WEAK - RANGE BOUND (Prices have ceased trending and have become consolidated at this time) The market has put in a short term top. This means that the bulls are liquidating long positions thus taking some profit off the table.,


TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT
The close is currently Above it's Long Term TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. -  37.5000
Today's Rally pushed prices on the close above the long term trendline resistance - This is Bullish as the market is now under heavy Accumulation.


The close is currently Above  it's Intermediate Term TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. -  35.4661 
The close is currently Above  it's Short Term TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. -  37.0310 
Today's Rally pushed prices on the close above the short term trendline support


INTRADAY PRICE PROJECTIONS
RESISTANCE  37.8065
SUPPORT  37.3335


WEEKLY PRICE PROJECTIONS
RESISTANCE  38.1000
SUPPORT  36.5300


MONTHLY PRICE PROJECTIONS
BULL MARKET UPTREND - (12-18mo) PRICE TARGET =  53.0100
Long term Trend Line resistance is currently at -  42.6700
Long term Trend Line support is currently at -  37.5000


BULL MARKET HYPER PARABOLIC CIRCUIT BREAKERS
BUBBLE PHASE 3 - (72mo+) (TULIP CRAZE CRASH IMMANENT) PRICE TARGET =  84.0300
BUBBLE PHASE 2 - (42-60mo) (MARKET FRENZY BUYING) PRICE TARGET =  73.6900
BUBBLE PHASE I - (24-36mo) PRICE TARGET =  63.3500


VOLATILITY
On 7/28/2010, DJUBS GRAINS ETF closed   
below the upper band by 23.0%.
This combined with the steep uptrend suggests that the upward trend in prices has a good chance of continuing.  However, a short-term pull-back inside the bands is likely.


     IN PLAY - (PANDORA'S LITTLE BLACK BOX)


LONG Signals :   


3rd PulseWave 
LONG ENTRY -  38.2400
       Profit Target  53.0100 
   Stop Loss/Stop & Reverse  37.0970


    RALLY ALERT - (Market Bottom) Possible Breakout is likely due to strong market pulse projections   WARNING - Possible Upper Volatiltiy Band BreakOut   Bullish Momentum Strengthening (Phase I).     


       LONG ENTRY-  38.0430
   Profit Target  41.0667
   Stop Loss  37.0970




SHORT Signals :  


           WARNING - Inside Day / Bullish Retracement pull back from previous high (Possible Breakdown below)   


        SHORT ENTRY-  37.0970
   Profit Target  35.0467
   Stop Loss  38.0430



Risk Disclosure


General Advice Disclosure: Please note that the advice contained herein is general advice and is for the purposes of education only. The risk of loss in trading futures contracts, commodity options, stocks, stock options and forex currencies can be substantial, and therefore investors should understand the risks involved in taking leveraged positions and must assume responsibility for the risks associated with such investments and for their results. You are reminded that past performance is no guarantee or reliable indication of future results. It has not been prepared taking into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs.You should therefore assess whether the advice is appropriate to your individual investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs. You should do this before making an investment decision based on this general advice. You can either make the assessment yourself or seek the help of a professional adviser. This commentary is not a recommendation to buy or sell, but rather a guideline to interpreting the specified indicators. This information should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in securities trading. The Vulcan Report accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of this expert or its contents.liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of this expert or its contents.


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