Thursday, December 16, 2010

12/16/2010 - JPMorgan paring large silver short position-report

* JPMorgan paring large silver short position-report 
    * Says does not hold 90 pct of LME copper stock warrants 
    * Experts' opinions mixed on purpose of large holdings 
    * In spotlight as U.S. moves ahead on tougher regulations 
    
 (Recasts, adds more expert comment) 
By Frank Tang 
NEW YORK, Dec 14 (Reuters) - JPMorgan's  commodity 
business was uncomfortably in the spotlight on both sides of 
the Atlantic on Tuesday after reports that it had amassed a 
larger long position in copper and was unwinding a big silver 
short. 
The reports placed the bank in the public eye as U.S. and 
European regulators are cracking down on commodity market 
concentration to prevent volatile price spikes, prompting 
debate about whether the positions reflect growing customer 
business at a top-tier commodity bank or aggressive trading. 
JP Morgan is reducing a large position in U.S. silver 
futures, the Financial Times reported on Tuesday, citing a 
source familiar with the matter. Two months ago the bank and 
HSBC Holdings Plc  were sued by investors who accused 
them of conspiring to drive down silver prices. 
And in Europe, data from the London Metal Exchange showed 
that a single entity had increased its control over warehouse 
copper stocks and cash contracts to more than 90 percent, up 
from a 50-80 percent holding reported for the past several 
weeks. [ID:nLDE6BD136] 
A spokesman for JPMorgan, which had been reported as 
holding the 50-80 percent position, denied that it held over 90 
percent of stock warrants, but declined comment on whether it 
had a dominant position of less than that. [ID:nLDE6BD1U5] 
Traders said both holdings could be tied to the bank's 
large customer and custodian business rather than traders 
building a big position with the bank's own capital, but a 
former regulator said the positions could raise eyebrows. 
"I don't know whether JPMorgan has done anything wrong, but 
I would say this raises serious questions, and requires further 
investigation. It's quite unusual," said Michael Greenberger, 
law professor University of Maryland, former head of CFTC's 
trading and markets division. 
"I suspect the CFTC's enforcement director may look into 
this to determine whether there has been any manipulation, even 
if there are no position limits to contend with," he said. 
Others said it was almost unthinkable that any bank would 
risk regulators' ire so soon after the financial crisis, adding 
that it was probably a combination of many positions, possibly 
hedging on behalf of customers or physical inventories. 
"I find it very hard to believe that JPMorgan would run 
afoul of authorities which would eventually find out if had 
committed any malfeasance," said Dennis Gartman, publisher of 
the Gartman Letter. 
JPMorgan stores metal on behalf of the world's largest 
physically backed silver fund, the iShares Silver Trust . 
    "It's like asking a grain elevator if it has any short 
position in corn, when all it does is hedging against its long 
position in its grain storage," Gartman said. 
A JPMorgan spokeswoman in New York declined immediate 
comment when contacted by Reuters. 
The company's silver futures positions would be "materially 
smaller" in the future, the FT reported the source as saying. 
    U.S. silver futures barely moved on the news, with the 
benchmark March silver contract  settled up 0.6 percent 
at $29.788 an ounce on the COMEX division of NYMEX on Tuesday. 
TOP TIER 
JP Morgan's commodities business, led by Blythe Masters, 
joined the top tier commodity traders Goldman Sachs  and 
Morgan Stanley  this year with the acquisition of the 
RBS-Sempra operation, a global commodities powerhouse. 
In October, JPMorgan and HSBC were hit with two lawsuits 
accusing them of driving down silver prices from the first half 
of 2008 by amassing huge silver shorts that are designed to 
profit when prices fall. [ID:nN27259071] 
If they have been selling futures without an offsetting 
hedge since 2008, the banks would have missed out on the 
biggest silver rally since the Hunt Brothers attempted to 
corner the market 30 years ago. 
Open interest in U.S. silver futures  has declined by 
nearly 20 percent since November, while prices have surged to 
30-year peaks, trends that market analysts say suggest that 
short covering has helped fuel the gains. Prior to November, 
however, open interest had risen, suggesting bullish longs. 
But the COMEX futures market is still relatively small 
compared to global supply. Exchange data showed total turnover 
equivalent to 540 million ounces, while global production is 
about 900 million ounces; the oil market, by comparison, trades 
8 times more than the global supply. 
"Just because they are all trading through JPMorgan doesn't 
mean that the bank is the decision maker and has a controlling 
position. It's different than proprietary trading," said 
Jeffrey Williams, who wrote a book about the Hunt brothers 
silver manipulation lawsuit and was called an expert witness in 
that case. 
    
    POSITION CONTROL 
The revelations come just two days before the U.S. 
Commodity Futures Trading Commission is set to propose position 
limits for U.S. swaps and futures contracts, rules that would 
prohibit any single company from holding more than a pre-set 
share of any given commodity derivative. 
But most commodity exchanges already have so-called 
"accountability limits" that they use to prevent any trader 
from accumulating an overly large position. 
A spokesman for the CME Group , which owns the COMEX 
market where U.S. silver futures are traded and sets and 
enforces its own position limits, did not return requests for 
comment. 
According to CME Group's NYMEX rule book, which also 
regulates its COMEX metals division, the exchange set both its 
all-month accountability as well as any one-month 
accountability levels at 6,000 contracts, with the 
expiration-month limit at 3,000 lots. 
CME NYMEX rule book: http://link.reuters.com/pah22r 
    Market participants, including commercial banks and trading 
houses, rarely exceed exchange position limits because of the 
cash margin requirements for large positions. Exchanges do not 
reveal customer names when position limits are hit. 
Allegations of malfeasance in the relatively small, niche 
silver market predate the latest drive to clamp down on 
commodity markets and stem from persistent complaints from 
smaller players that prices are under the sway of big banks. 
    The CFTC began probing allegations of silver price 
manipulation in September 2008, but the paper said in two 
previous reviews of the silver market, the CFTC has dismissed 
claims of manipulation. 
(Reporting by Frank Tang, Joshua Schneyer in New York and 
Nicholas Trevethan in Singapore; Editing by Jonathan Leff and 
Alden Bentley) 
((frank.tang@thomsonreuters.com; +1 646 223 6126; 
Reuters Messaging: frank.tang.reuters.com@reuters.net)) 
 
 
 

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