Wednesday, February 2, 2011

02/02/2011 - Global Economic Supercycle

Prepare For The Amazing Global Economic Supercycle That's Going To Blow Away Your Wildest Expectations



Galaxy




The economy is in the midst of a thirty year super-cycle that will see Asia boom to become the dominant economic force in the world, according to Standard Chartered.

The world has been through this before: once from 1870 until 1913, and again from the end of World War II until 1973.
The first super-cycle was the result of rampant growth in the U.S. and global utilization of the tools of the industrial revolution. The second was brought on by the rebuilding of Europe, growth of a global middle class, and emergence of Asian exporting powers.
This time, the cycle is all about the emerging consumer class in Asia. China's consumer will move ahead of the U.S. by 2018. Chinese growth will average 6.9% over the next two decades, India 9.3%.
There will be slowdowns, largely driven by the slowing west, but Standard Chartered feel this emerging market story is about to drive another massive period of growth in recent human history.

We've had 2 super-cycles before. One from 1870 to 1913. Another from the end of World War II until 1973. Now we may be in the midst of another.

We've had 2 super-cycles before. One from 1870 to 1913. Another from the end of World War II until 1973. Now we may be in the midst of another.


Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/standard-chartered-supercycle-2030-2011-1#weve-had-2-super-cycles-before-one-from-1870-to-1913-another-from-the-end-of-world-war-ii-until-1973-now-we-may-be-in-the-midst-of-another-1#ixzz1Co4YGI84






By the end of this one, the global economy will be 6 times bigger.

By the end of this one, the global economy will be 6 times bigger.


Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/standard-chartered-supercycle-2030-2011-1#by-the-end-of-this-one-the-global-economy-will-be-6-times-bigger-2#ixzz1Co4euS2f




Today, the U.S. and EU dominate world GDP.

Today, the U.S. and EU dominate world GDP.


Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/standard-chartered-supercycle-2030-2011-1#today-the-us-and-eu-dominate-world-gdp-3#ixzz1Co4kQqsp






Tomorrow, China and the emerging world will rise to dominate.

Tomorrow, China and the emerging world will rise to dominate.


Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/standard-chartered-supercycle-2030-2011-1#tomorrow-china-and-the-emerging-world-will-rise-to-dominate-4#ixzz1Co4qN5Bk




By 2030, the rest of the world will crush the U.S. and EU in terms of global output.

By 2030, the rest of the world will crush the U.S. and EU in terms of global output.


Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/standard-chartered-supercycle-2030-2011-1#by-2030-the-rest-of-the-world-will-crush-the-us-and-eu-in-terms-of-global-output-5#ixzz1Co4xNqTi




GDP expansion is most evident in India and China.

GDP expansion is most evident in India and China.


Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/standard-chartered-supercycle-2030-2011-1#gdp-expansion-is-most-evident-in-india-and-china-6#ixzz1Co52DIic




GDP per capita growth is tinier, however, in those emerging markets.

GDP per capita growth is tinier, however, in those emerging markets.


Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/standard-chartered-supercycle-2030-2011-1#gdp-per-capita-growth-is-tinier-however-in-those-emerging-markets-7#ixzz1Co57aJ1R




Rampant population growth in the emerging world will be accompanied by weak growth in the U.S. and EU, and a decline in Japan.

Rampant population growth in the emerging world will be accompanied by weak growth in the U.S. and EU, and a decline in Japan.


Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/standard-chartered-supercycle-2030-2011-1#rampant-population-growth-in-the-emerging-world-will-be-accompanied-by-weak-growth-in-the-us-and-eu-and-a-decline-in-japan-8#ixzz1Co5CkKi2




From 2020 to 2030, China's working age population will actually decline.

From 2020 to 2030, China's working age population will actually decline.


Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/standard-chartered-supercycle-2030-2011-1#from-2020-to-2030-chinas-working-age-population-will-actually-decline-9#ixzz1Co5Hlroe




Another key emerging market will be that of Sub-Saharan Africa, which will really pick up pace from 2011 forward.

Another key emerging market will be that of Sub-Saharan Africa, which will really pick up pace from 2011 forward.


Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/standard-chartered-supercycle-2030-2011-1#another-key-emerging-market-will-be-that-of-sub-saharan-africa-which-will-really-pick-up-pace-from-2011-forward-10#ixzz1Co5OKhwM




The export boom is going to get even bigger.

The export boom is going to get even bigger.


Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/standard-chartered-supercycle-2030-2011-1#the-export-boom-is-going-to-get-even-bigger-11#ixzz1Co5U2pc2




And Asia will be at the center of that.

And Asia will be at the center of that.


Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/standard-chartered-supercycle-2030-2011-1#and-asia-will-be-at-the-center-of-that-12#ixzz1Co5ZDyqY




Africa's role in world trade will also surge.

Africa's role in world trade will also surge.


Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/standard-chartered-supercycle-2030-2011-1#africas-role-in-world-trade-will-also-surge-13#ixzz1Co5eaUX9




Oil consumption per capita will actually decline in the U.S., but will rise in key emerging markets.

Oil consumption per capita will actually decline in the U.S., but will rise in key emerging markets.


Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/standard-chartered-supercycle-2030-2011-1#oil-consumption-per-capita-will-actually-decline-in-the-us-but-will-rise-in-key-emerging-markets-14#ixzz1Co5jLrDY




But it's clear, if you're looking to play the rising consumer class, the target is Asia.

But it's clear, if you're looking to play the rising consumer class, the target is Asia.


Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/standard-chartered-supercycle-2030-2011-1#but-its-clear-if-youre-looking-to-play-the-rising-consumer-class-the-target-is-asia-15#ixzz1Co5od46D





http://www.businessinsider.com/standard-chartered-supercycle-2030-2011-1#



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