Tuesday, August 30, 2011

8/30/2011 - Hurricane Katia Tracking Inbound For USA around 9/11 - Forecast to Be Major Hurricane by Sunday 9/4

Here we go. Its Irene's tag team partner. Irene is tapped out and here comes Hurricane Katia. Coming right up the same path as Irene, due to hit the shores of the USA in 10-14 days from now. Thats 9/9-9/13 and thats first strike, then it could roll up the coast, on head inland, or cross Florida towards the Gulf of Mexico. Could possibly turn or fade as well.

Worth keeping an AllSeeingI on...  
NHC: Katia Website









Reuters: Tropical Storm Katia, latest of 2011 hurricane season
(Reuters) - Tropical Storm Katia formed over the open Atlantic Ocean on Tuesday, becoming the 11th named storm of the 2011 hurricane season, U.S. forecasters said.


The U.S. National Hurricane Center said Katia was about 535 miles southwest of the southernmost Cape Verde Islands and was moving quickly west northwestward across the Atlantic.


It was too soon to gauge the storm's potential threat to the U.S. East Coast or energy interests in the Gulf of Mexico with any confidence.


But Katia was packing top sustained winds of about 40 miles per hour and was forecast to become a powerful Category 2 hurricane by the weekend...




Tropical Storm Katia forms, likely to strengthen; tracking northeast of Puerto Rico by Sunday
A new tropical storm has developed in the eastern Atlantic Ocean and currently is headed on a path that would place it northeast of Puerto Rico by Sunday, according to the National Hurricane Center.


Forecasters haven’t projected Tropical Storm Katia’s path beyond Sunday but it is on a path that is slightly north of the one Hurricane Irene took. And the same general weather patterns remain in place that steered Irene northward and off Florida’s coast, according to the National Weather Service, Melbourne.


Katia currently is in the mid Atlantic Ocean and is on a latitude paralleling the north coast of South American. The storm has 40 mph winds and currently is moving west northwest at about 15 mph.

Hurricane Katia Is Now Forming Over The Atlantic

Tropical depression 12 is working its way into a hurricane today and is expected to be anointed a proper name later this week... Looking like a classic "Cape Verde" storm, Katia could reach landfall in the Leeward Islands around Labor day.


Huffington Post: New Atlantic Storm Could Become Hurricane Katia 

The U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami said Monday the depression south of the Cape Verde Islands could reach hurricane strength Thursday, still far out in the Atlantic.


TROPICAL STORM KATIA
Public Advisory

NEW TROPICAL STORM MOVING QUICKLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC


Daily KOS: Hurricane Katia set to form in Atlantic. Katia? KATIA? Are you freakin' serious?
Yes, we're about to have a Tropical-Storm-turned-Hurricane develop in the far eastern Atlantic Ocean named "Katia." Today is the 6th anniversary of the landfall of Hurricane Katrina on the northern Gulf Coast, and we're now talking about Katia.

You know, this is why meteorologists are in meteorology and not in creative writing or teaching Tone Deafness/Sensitivity 101. Hurricane names for the Atlantic are used every 6 years on a rotating basis, and this year we happen to have 2005's list. If you remember back in 2005, it was the most active hurricane season we've ever recorded -- we exhausted the English alphabet and had to use 6 Greek letters to name storms. When a hurricane is bad enough, they retire the name for sensitivity reasons. They retired Katrina and Rita.

What did they replace Katrina and Rita with? Katia and Rina. You've got to be burger-flippin' kiddin' me, right?

KATRINA = KAT IRENE IA  (IRENE/KATIA)
Woah....
also.... this is the same hurricane list as in 2005 with Katia taking Katrina's place.
Woah woah. 



To give some of you an idea of why this storm is interesting to watch, and now is actually the perfect time to watch it, is based on the following projections....

Forecast positions and Max winds
init 30/0900z 11.8n 31.7w 35 kt 40 mph
12h 30/1800z 12.5n 33.7w 40 kt 45 mph
24h 31/0600z 13.5n 36.8w 50 kt 60 mph
36h 31/1800z 14.4n 40.2w 60 kt 70 mph
48h 01/0600z 15.3n 43.7w 70 kt 80 mph
72h 02/0600z 17.0n 49.5w 80 kt 90 mph
96h 03/0600z 18.5n 54.0w 90 kt 105 mph
120h 04/0600z 20.5n 58.0w 100 kt 115 mph

In the next 48 hours the wind speeds are expected to double. In 120 hours, wind speeds are expected to be at 115 mph, which would make it a Cat 3 Hurricane. You can read the latest full projection and explanation at the link below


Current Assessment 






And, did you notice that is the 11th named storm of the 2011 season?

Also that September 9 (9/9) is 11 days from the August 29 anniversary of Katrina.



anyone notice this? The # of the letter of the alphabet.

K a t i a
11 1 20 9 1 = 9 11 2011




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