Friday, July 13, 2018

07-13-2018 Overnight Markets and News

**Overnight Markets and News**

Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU18 -0.01%) this morning are up +0.04% at a 4-month high and European stocks are up +0.35%.  JPMorgan Chase is up over 1% in pre-market trading and is boosting bank stocks after it reported stronger-than-expected Q2 earnings results.  On the negative side, China reported its trade surplus with the U.S. rose to a record $28.97 billion, highlighting the cause of the escalating trade war.  China's exports to the U.S. in Jun also climbed to a record $42.62 billion.  Energy stocks are weaker as well with Aug WTI crude oil (CLQ18 -0.21%) down -0.24%.  Crude oil prices weakened on concern about slowing demand from China, the world's second-largest crude consumer, after China Jun crude imports fell -12% m/m to 8.39 million bpd, the lowest in 6-months.  Asian stocks settled mostly higher: Japan +1,85%, Hong Kong +0.16%, China -0.23%, Taiwan +1.17%, Australia unch, Singapore +0.23%, South Korea +1.44%, India -0.02%.  Chinese stocks erased an early rally and closed slightly lower as the yuan weakened to a 1-1/2 week low against the dollar.  Chinese stocks had found support on stronger-than-expected China Jun exports, a sign of economic strength.  Japan's Nikkei Stock Index climbed to a 3-week high as exporters rallied on a weaker yen that boosts exporters' earnings prospects after USD/JPY climbed to a new 6-month high.


**Overnight Markets and News**

Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU18 -0.01%) this morning are up +0.04% at a 4-month high and European stocks are up +0.35%.  JPMorgan Chase is up over 1% in pre-market trading and is boosting bank stocks after it reported stronger-than-expected Q2 earnings results.  On the negative side, China reported its trade surplus with the U.S. rose to a record $28.97 billion, highlighting the cause of the escalating trade war.  China's exports to the U.S. in Jun also climbed to a record $42.62 billion.  Energy stocks are weaker as well with Aug WTI crude oil (CLQ18 -0.21%) down -0.24%.  Crude oil prices weakened on concern about slowing demand from China, the world's second-largest crude consumer, after China Jun crude imports fell -12% m/m to 8.39 million bpd, the lowest in 6-months.  Asian stocks settled mostly higher: Japan +1,85%, Hong Kong +0.16%, China -0.23%, Taiwan +1.17%, Australia unch, Singapore +0.23%, South Korea +1.44%, India -0.02%.  Chinese stocks erased an early rally and closed slightly lower as the yuan weakened to a 1-1/2 week low against the dollar.  Chinese stocks had found support on stronger-than-expected China Jun exports, a sign of economic strength.  Japan's Nikkei Stock Index climbed to a 3-week high as exporters rallied on a weaker yen that boosts exporters' earnings prospects after USD/JPY climbed to a new 6-month high.

The dollar index (DXY00 +0.42%) is up +0.32% at a 2-week high.  EUR/USD (^EURUSD -0.38%) is down -0.37% at a 1-1/2 week low.  USD/JPY (^USDJPY +0.08%) is up +0.04% at a new 6-month high.

Sep 10-year T-note prices (ZNU18 +0-040) are up +4.5 ticks.

China Jun new yuan loans were 1.84 trillion yuan, stronger than expectations of +1.535 trillion yuan.  Jun aggregate financing rose +1.18 trillion yuan, weaker than expectations of +1.40 trillion yuan.

The China Jun trade balance was in surplus by +$41.61 billion, wider than expectations of +$27.72 billion and the largest surplus in 6-months.  Jun exports rose +11.3% y/y, stronger than expectations of +9.5% y/y.  Jun imports rose +14.1% y/y, weaker than expectations of +21.3% y/y.



**U.S. Stock Preview**

Key U.S. news today includes: (1) Jun import price index (expected +0.1% m/m and +4.6% y/y, May +0.6% m/m and +4.3% y/y), (2) preliminary-Jul University of Michigan U.S. consumer sentiment index (expected -0.2 to 98.0, Jun +0.2 to 98.2), (3) Fed releases semi-annual monetary policy report that Fed Chair Jerome Powell will present when he testifies before the Senate Banking Committee on July 17, (4) Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic (voter) holds a town hall chat at the UVA Northern Virginia Center.

Notable Russell 1000 earnings reports today include: Citigroup (consensus $1.56), JP Morgan Chase (2.22), Wells Fargo (1.12), First Republic (1.16), PNC Financial Services Group (2.57).

U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: none.

Equity conferences during the remainder of this week: none.



Overnight U.S. Stock Movers

JPMorgan Chase (JPM +0.43%) rose more than 1% in pre-market trading after it reported Q2 FICC sales and trading revenue of $3.45 billion, better than consensus of $3.20 billion.

BlackRock (BLK +0.75%) was upgraded to 'Outperform from 'Market Perform' at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods with a price target of $617.

Monro (MNRO +1.07%) was upgraded to 'Buy from 'Neutral' at Goldman Sachs with a price target of $71.

VF Corp (VFC +0.46%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Neutral' at Bank of America/Merrill Lynch.

Broadcom (AVGO -13.74%) was downgraded to 'Market Perform' from 'Outperform' at BMO Capital Markets.

Oshkosh (OSK +1.98%) was rated anew 'Buy' at Longbow Research with a price target of $88.

McDonald’s (MCD +0.32%) lost 1% in after-hours trading after the Illinois Department of Public Health received confirmation of about 90 cases of cyclophorias, possibly liked to salads produced for McDonald's restaurants.

Children's Place (PLCE -1.93%) was rated an 'Outperform' at Wedbush with a price target of $150.

Ingredion (INGR -0.22%) fell 4% in after-hours trading after it cut its 2018 adjusted EPS forecast to $7.50-$7.80 from a prior view of $7.90-$8.20, below consensus of $7.90, due to lower than expected North America performance.

AT&T (T +1.13%) lost 1% in after-hours trading after the U.S. Justice Department said it is appealing a judge's decision allowing AT&T's takeover of Time Warner.

Avenue Therapeutics (ATXI -0.27%) was rated a new 'Outperform' at Oppenheimer with a price target of $8.

Chaparral Energy (CHPE -5.01%) was rate a new 'Buy' at Johnson Rice & Co.

Gogo (GOGO +5.01%) rallied 6% in after-hours trading after it said it was considering options that include splitting into separate companies servicing commercial and business aircraft.









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