**Overnight Markets and News**
*Dec E-mini S&Ps (ESZ18 -0.46%) this morning are down -0.58% ahead of this morning's U.S. Nov non-farm payroll report. Trade concerns continue to weigh on U.S. equity markets after the arrest of the CFO of China's Huawei in Canada for possible violation of banking laws as Huawei sought to evade sanctions against Iran by routing a series of transactions through HSBC Holdings Plc. Markets are concerned that China may retaliate for her arrest by ending trade talks with the U.S. Weakness in energy stocks is also weighing on U.S. stock indexes with Jan WTI crude oil (CLF19 +0.85%) down -0.12%. Crude oil gave up overnight gains after an OPEC delegate said that talks are deadlocked over crude production cuts as Iran said it will not accept a symbolic output cap. European stocks are up +1.00% as they recover from Thursday's slide to a 2-year low. Asian stocks settled mostly higher: Japan +0.82%, Hong Kong -0.35%, China +0.03%, Taiwan +0.79%, Australia +0.42%, Singapore -0.14%, South Korea +0.41%, India +1.02%. Japanese stocks rallied on stronger-than-expected Oct labor earnings, which may lead to a boost in consumer spending.
*The dollar index (DXY00 -0.01%) is down -0.01%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD +0.05%) is up +0.04%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY +0.13%) is up +0.12%.
*Mar 10-year T-note prices (ZNH19 -0-025) are down -2 ticks.
*Fed Chair Powell said, "our economy is currently performing very well overall, with strong job creation and gradually rising wages. Our labor market is very strong."
*Eurozone Q3 GDP was revised downward to +1.6% y/y from the previously reported +1.7% y/y, the slowest pace of growth since Q4 of 2014.
*German Oct industrial production unexpectedly fell -0.5% m/m, weaker than expectations of +0.3% m/m.
*Japan Oct labor cash earnings rose +1.5% y/y, stronger than expectations of +1.0% y/y, Oct real cash earnings fell -0.1% y/y, stronger than expectations of -0.3% y/y.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
**U.S. Stock Preview**
*Key U.S. news today includes: (1) Nov non-farm payrolls (expected +198,000, Oct +250,000) and Nov unemployment rate (expected unch at 3.7%, Oct unch at 3.7%), (2) Nov avg hourly earnings (expected +0.3% m/m and +3.1% y/y, Oct +0.2% m/m and +3.1% y/y), (3) revised Oct wholesale inventories (previous +0.7%), (4) preliminary-Dec University of Michigan U.S. consumer sentiment (expected -0.5 to 97.0, Nov -1.1 to 97.5), (5) Fed Governor Lael Brainard speaks about current financial stability issues at the Peterson Institute in Washington D.C., (6) Oct consumer credit (expected +$15.000 billion, Sep +10.923 billion).
*Notable Russell 1000 earnings reports today include: Vail Resorts (consensus $-2.46).
*U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: none.
*Equity conferences during the remainder of this week: none.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
**Overnight U.S. Stock Movers**
*Expeditors International (EXPD -1.64%) was downgraded to 'Sell' from 'Neutral' at Goldman Sachs with a price target of $68.
*Broadcom (AVGO -2.07%) climbed more than 6% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS from continuing operations at $5.85, better than consensus of $5.56.
*Ulta Beauty (ULTA +0.61%) dropped 5% on after-hours trading after it forecast Q4 revenue of $2.085 billion to $2.103 billion, weaker than consensus of $2.12 billion.
*WD-40 (WDFC -0.95%) was rated a new 'Buy' at D.A. Davidson with a price target of $209.
*Lululemon Athletica (LULU -1.63%) fell 4% in after-hours trading after it forecast Q4 comparable-store sales will rise in the high-single or low-double digits, weaker than the 18% increase in Q3.
*Zendesk (ZEN +2.39%) was rated a new 'Outperform' at Wedbush with a price target of $71.
*Global Blood Therapeutics (GBT +2.68%) slid nearly 6% in after-hours trading after it announced an agreement to sell $150 million in shares of its common stock in a registered underwritten public offering.
*Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL +1.56%) jumped 9% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 net sales of $160.8 million, above consensus of $129.4 million, and then forecast full-year net sales of $625 million to $640 million, stronger than consensus of $609.8 million.
*United Natural Foods (UNFI -2.90%) slid 6% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 59 cents, well below consensus of 73 cents.
*Zumiez (ZUMZ +0.26%) fell 7% in after-hours trading after it forecast Q4 net sales of $295 million to $301 million, weaker than consensus of $312.4 million.
*Domo (DOMO -1.14%) rose 4% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 revenue of $36.8 million, better than consensus of $35.0 million, and then forecast Q4 revenue of $37.5 million to $37.9 million, higher than consensus of $35.7 million.
*American Outdoor Brands (AOBC +3.30%) rallied more than 13% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 net sales of $161.7 million, higher than consensus of $154.1 million, and then forecast full-year net sales of $625 million to $635 million, stronger than consensus of $$624.9 million.
*Quotient Ltd (QTNT +0.87%) dropped 6% in after-hours trading after it announced that it intends to sell $50 million of its common stock in an underwritten public offering.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
**Market Comments**
*Dec S&P 500 E-minis (ESZ18 -0.46%) this morning are down -15.50 points (-0.58%). Thursday's closes: S&P 500 -0.15%, Dow Jones -0.64%, Nasdaq 100 +0.78%. The S&P 500 on Thursday tumbled to a 5-week low but then recovered to close just slightly lower. Stocks opened sharply lower on the arrest of Wanzhou Meng, CFO of Huawei Technologies, for violations of U.S. sanctions on Iran, which could threaten the recent trade truce between the U.S. and China. Energy stocks were undercut by the -2.65% slide in crude oil prices.
*Mar 10-year T-notes (ZNH19 -0-025) this morning are down -2 ticks. Thursday's closes: TYH9 +12.50, FVH9 +8.50. Mar 10-year T-notes on Thursday rallied to a contract high and closed higher on the slump in the S&P 500 to a 5-week low, which spurred safe-haven demand for T-notes. T-notes were also boosted by reduced inflation expectations after the 10-year T-note breakeven inflation expectations rate tumbled to an 11-3/4 month low.
*The dollar index (DXY00 -0.01%) this morning is down -0.005 (-0.01%), EUR/USD (^EURUSD +0.05%) is up +0.0004 (+0.04%), and USD/JPY (^USDJPY +0.13%) is up +0.14 (+0.12%). Thursday's closes: Dollar Index -0.260 (-0.27%), EUR/USD +0.0030 (+0.26%), USD/JPY -0.51 (-0.45%). The dollar index on Thursday closed lower on weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data on Nov ADP employment and Oct factory orders. In addition, the sharp early sell-off in stocks sent USD/JPY down to a 5-week low on increased safe-haven demand for the yen.
*Metals prices this morning are higher with Feb gold (GCG19 +0.24%) +3.0 (+0.24%), Mar silver (SIH19 +0.42%) +0.051 (+0.35%), and Mar copper (HGH19 +0.71%) +0.016 (+0.57%). Thursday's closes: Feb Comex gold (GCG19) on Thursday closed up +1.0 (+0.08%) and Mar Comex silver (SIH19) closed down -0.073 (-0.50%). A weaker dollar and a slump in the S&P 500 to a 5-week low Thursday boosted safe-haven demand for gold and lifted Feb gold prices to a 6-week high. Mar silver moved lower Thursday on fund selling tied to demand concerns. Long silver positions in ETFs fell to a 3-week low of 528.16 mln troy ounces on Wednesday, a sign of fund selling. Meanwhile, U.S. Oct factory orders fell -2.1% m/m, the biggest decline in 15 months, which is negative for industrial metals demand. Gold gave up most of its gains Thursday on reduced inflation expectations after the 10-year T-note inflation expectations rate tumbled to an 11-1/2 month low, which curbs demand for gold as an inflation hedge.
*Jan WTI crude oil prices (CLF19 +0.85%) this morning are down -6 cents (-0.12%) and Jan gasoline (RBF19 +1.58%) is up +0.082 (+0.57%). Thursday's closes: Jan WTI crude oil (CLF19) on Thursday closed down by -$1.40 per barrel (-2.65%) and Feb Brent crude (CBG19) closed down -$1.50 (-2.44%). Jan RBOB gasoline (RBF19) closed down by -1.22 cents per gallon (-0.84%). The energy complex sold-off Thursday after OPEC+ producers failed to come to an agreement on a crude production cut. Prices remained lower on concern OPEC+ producers will fail to cut crude production enough to curb oversupply after Saudi Oil Minister Khalid Al-Falih said Thursday that a cut of about 1 million bpd from OPEC+ should be adequate, which is less than estimates from OPEC+ delegates last week for a -1.3 million bpd cut in production to curb global oversupply. Crude prices recovered from their worst levels after the EIA reported that U.S. crude inventories last week fell -7.23 million bbl, a much bigger than decline than expectations of -2.0 million bbl. Also, strong foreign demand for U.S. crude is supportive after U.S. crude exports in the week ended Nov 30 rose +761,000 bpd to a record 3.203 million bpd.
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{==================================================}
*PLACING TRADES*
HOW TO READ THE MARKET
OK SO IF YOU LOOK AT TODAYS SHEET YOU WILL LOOK FOR YOUR BUY/SELL SIGNALS FIRST. THE BUY SELL SIGNAL IS LOCATED UNDER THE "POSMOM" & "NEGMOM" COLUMNS. FOR BUYS SIGNALS YOUR LOOKING FOR EITHER A "311", "411" OR "911" LIKEWISE FOR SELL SIGNALS. BUY AND SELL ARE BASED ON THE POS MOM AND NEG MOM THERE IS ALSO "11" WHICH MEANS THAT THE MARKET IS LOCKED IN WITH EITHER BULLISH OR BEARISH MOMENTUM. THIS IS ANALOGOUS TO A CONTINUATION PATTERN IN EITHER DIRECTION. NEXT YOU LOOK AT THE "TREND" COLUMN. IS YOU HAVE A BUY SIGNAL (AS INDICATED ABOVE) THEN YOU KNOW THAT YOU WILL BE TRADING WITH THE TREND IS THERE IS A "3","2" OR "1" IN THE TREND COLUMN. 3 IS A MATURE STAGE 3 TREND. EVERYTHING IS LOCKED IN MOMENTUM WISE. 2 IS A STAGE 2 TREND THAT IS STRENGTHENING AND WILL BECOME A STAGE 3 SOON. 1 IS THE BEGINNING STAGE OF A TREND THAT DEVELOPING. NEXT......IS THE MARKET TIMING. THATS WHERE THE PRICE TRIGGERS COME INTO PLAY. FOR LONGS YOU CAN ENTER @ THE "ENTRY" COLUMN OR TAKE A MORE CONSERVATIVE APPROACH (IF THE "52WK" COLUMN IS GREATER THAN THE "ENTRY" COLUMN) AND ENTER AT THE "52WK" TRIGGER. ONCE YOU HAVE MADE YOUR DECISION YOU SIMPLY PLACE THE TICKET AND WAIT FOR THE MARKET TO COME TO YOU.
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*EXITS* - THERE ARE TWO WAYS TO DO EXITS. FIRST YOU CAN EXIT WHEN THE OPPOSITE PRICE TRIGGER IS HIT.
EXITS WORK LIKE ENTRY POINTS. YOU LET THE MARKET COME TO YOU. THE MORE CONSERVATIVE APPROACH IS TO USE THE "STOPLOSS" COLUMN AS YOUR EXIT ON LONG POSITIONS AND USE THE "ENTRY" COLUMN TO EXIT ON SHORT POSITIONS.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
*SHORT SELL*
THIS IS WHERE YOU SELL SHORT. THIS IS THE 1ST ENTRY PRICE TO GET SHORT.
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*ENTRY*
KEEP IN MIND THAT IF THIS FIELD IS BLANK THEN DO NOT BUY. SHORTS HAVE CONTROL OF THE MARKET AND THE SYSTEM IS STAYING FLAT. THE ONLY OPTION IS TO EITHER SELL SHORT IF THERE IS AN ENTRY PRICE INDICATED UNDER THE "SHORTSELL" COLUMN. OR STAY FLAT ON THE SIDELINES OR TIGHTEN UP THE STOP IF YOU ARE LONG. YOU CAN USE THE SHORTSELL ENTRY AS YOUR STOP LOSS ON OPEN LONGS.
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*SELLSTOP*
THIS ACTS AS YOUR "SELLSTOP" ON LONG POSITIONS. IF YOU BOUGHT SOMETHING THIS IS WERE YOU SELL IT TO GET OUT. THIS PRICE TRIGGER ALSO ACTS AS YOUR STOP & REVERSE TO GET SHORT WHEN STOPPED OUT OF LONG POSITIONS. THEREFORE THE SELLSTOP ALSO FUNCTIONS AS THE 2nd ENTRY PRICE TO GET SHORT.
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*Positive-Momentum Meaning*:
11 Positive Momentum
311 SWING TRADE POSITIVE (LONG POSITION SIGNAL)
411 Oversold. Positive Swing VIX (Bottoming)
911 Rally Alert
999 MOMENTUM SHIFT ALERT - (FROM NEUTRAL/BEARISH TO BULLISH)
****UPDATE****
THE POMOM & NEGMOM COLUMNS ARE YOUR RALLY & CRASH ALERT USED TO TIME THE ENTRY OF MARKETS. ALSO LOOK FOR THE "11" WHICH IS A LOCKED IN MOMENTUM IN THE MARKET. SO THE RALLY/CRASH ALERT COLUMN IS YOUR BUY/SELL ALERT SECTION. LIKEWISE, THE UPTREND/DOWNTREND COLUMNS TRACK THE MARKETS CURRENT TREND AND THE STRENGTH THEREIN. A READING OF "3" IS A LOCKED IN MATURE MARKET WITH PARABOLIC MOMENTUM. A READING OF "2" INDICATES A MATURE MARKET THAT IS GAINING STRENGTH. A READING OF "1" IS THE BEGINNING STAGES OF A TREND THAT IS DEVELOPING.
SO WHEN YOU SEE A RALLY/CRASH ALERT YOU SHOULD PLACE THE BUY ORDER AHEAD OF THE MARKET USING THE "ENTRY" COLUMN PRICE. USE THE "SELLSHORT" COLUMN PRICE TO PLACE SHORT TICKETS AHEAD OF THE MARKET. NOTE: YOU DO NOT HAVE TO WAIT FOR THE MARKET TO TRIGGER THE PRICE BEFORE PLACING TICKETS. ITS BEST TO PLACE THE TRADE ORDERS AHEAD OF THE MARKET AND LET THE MARKET COME TO YOU. JUST PLACE THE TICKETS, WAIT AND BE PATIENT AND ALLOW THE MARKET TO COME TO YOU............
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*Uptrend - Meaning*
*PULSEWAVE PRICE CYCLE TREND*
A.K.A "PWPCT"
0 - NO TREND
88 - KUMO CLOUD OF DEATH (CONSOLIDATED SIDEWAYS MARKET)
1 - STAGE ONE PWPCT - BULL MARKET UPTREND FORMING
2 - STAGE TWO PWPCT - STRENGTHENING BULL MARKET UPTREND
3 - STAGE THREE PWPCT - LOCKED IN BULL MARKET UPTREND W/STRONG MOMENTUM
****UPDATE****
THE POMOM & NEGMOM COLUMNS ARE YOUR RALLY & CRASH ALERT USED TO TIME THE ENTRY OF MARKETS. ALSO LOOK FOR THE "11" WHICH IS A LOCKED IN MOMENTUM IN THE MARKET. SO THE RALLY/CRASH ALERT COLUMN IS YOUR BUY/SELL ALERT SECTION. LIKEWISE, THE UPTREND/DOWNTREND COLUMNS TRACK THE MARKETS CURRENT TREND AND THE STRENGTH THEREIN. A READING OF "3" IS A LOCKED IN MATURE MARKET WITH PARABOLIC MOMENTUM. A READING OF "2" INDICATES A MATURE MARKET THAT IS GAINING STRENGTH. A READING OF "1" IS THE BEGINNING STAGES OF A TREND THAT IS DEVELOPING.
SO WHEN YOU SEE A RALLY/CRASH ALERT YOU SHOULD PLACE THE BUY ORDER AHEAD OF THE MARKET USING THE "ENTRY" COLUMN PRICE. USE THE "SELLSHORT" COLUMN PRICE TO PLACE SHORT TICKETS AHEAD OF THE MARKET. NOTE: YOU DO NOT HAVE TO WAIT FOR THE MARKET TO TRIGGER THE PRICE BEFORE PLACING TICKETS. ITS BEST TO PLACE THE TRADE ORDERS AHEAD OF THE MARKET AND LET THE MARKET COME TO YOU. JUST PLACE THE TICKETS, WAIT AND BE PATIENT AND ALLOW THE MARKET TO COME TO YOU............
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*Downtrend - Meaning*
*PULSEWAVE PRICE CYCLE TREND*
A.K.A "PWPCT"
0 - NO TREND
-88 - KUMO CLOUD OF DEATH (CONSOLIDATED SIDEWAYS MARKET)
-1 - STAGE ONE PWPCT - BEAR MARKET DOWNTREND FORMING
-2 - STAGE TWO PWPCT - STRENGTHENING BEAR MARKET DOWNTREND
-3 - STAGE THREE PWPCT - LOCKED IN BEAR MARKET DOWNTREND W/STRONG MOMENTUM
****UPDATE****
THE POMOM & NEGMOM COLUMNS ARE YOUR RALLY & CRASH ALERT USED TO TIME THE ENTRY OF MARKETS. ALSO LOOK FOR THE "11" WHICH IS A LOCKED IN MOMENTUM IN THE MARKET. SO THE RALLY/CRASH ALERT COLUMN IS YOUR BUY/SELL ALERT SECTION. LIKEWISE, THE UPTREND/DOWNTREND COLUMNS TRACK THE MARKETS CURRENT TREND AND THE STRENGTH THEREIN. A READING OF "3" IS A LOCKED IN MATURE MARKET WITH PARABOLIC MOMENTUM. A READING OF "2" INDICATES A MATURE MARKET THAT IS GAINING STRENGTH. A READING OF "1" IS THE BEGINNING STAGES OF A TREND THAT IS DEVELOPING.
SO WHEN YOU SEE A RALLY/CRASH ALERT YOU SHOULD PLACE THE BUY ORDER AHEAD OF THE MARKET USING THE "ENTRY" COLUMN PRICE. USE THE "SELLSHORT" COLUMN PRICE TO PLACE SHORT TICKETS AHEAD OF THE MARKET. NOTE: YOU DO NOT HAVE TO WAIT FOR THE MARKET TO TRIGGER THE PRICE BEFORE PLACING TICKETS. ITS BEST TO PLACE THE TRADE ORDERS AHEAD OF THE MARKET AND LET THE MARKET COME TO YOU. JUST PLACE THE TICKETS, WAIT AND BE PATIENT AND ALLOW THE MARKET TO COME TO YOU............
----------------------------------------------------------------------
*Negative-Momentum Meaning*:
-11 Negative Momentum
-311 SWING TRADE POSITIVE (SHORT POSITION SIGNAL)
-411 Overbought. Negative Swing VIX (Topping out)
-911 Crash Alert
-777 MOMENTUM SHIFT ALERT - (FROM NEUTRAL/BULLISH TO BEARISH)
****UPDATE****
THE POMOM & NEGMOM COLUMNS ARE YOUR RALLY & CRASH ALERT USED TO TIME THE ENTRY OF MARKETS. ALSO LOOK FOR THE "11" WHICH IS A LOCKED IN MOMENTUM IN THE MARKET. SO THE RALLY/CRASH ALERT COLUMN IS YOUR BUY/SELL ALERT SECTION. LIKEWISE, THE UPTREND/DOWNTREND COLUMNS TRACK THE MARKETS CURRENT TREND AND THE STRENGTH THEREIN. A READING OF "3" IS A LOCKED IN MATURE MARKET WITH PARABOLIC MOMENTUM. A READING OF "2" INDICATES A MATURE MARKET THAT IS GAINING STRENGTH. A READING OF "1" IS THE BEGINNING STAGES OF A TREND THAT IS DEVELOPING.
SO WHEN YOU SEE A RALLY/CRASH ALERT YOU SHOULD PLACE THE BUY ORDER AHEAD OF THE MARKET USING THE "ENTRY" COLUMN PRICE. USE THE "SELLSHORT" COLUMN PRICE TO PLACE SHORT TICKETS AHEAD OF THE MARKET. NOTE: YOU DO NOT HAVE TO WAIT FOR THE MARKET TO TRIGGER THE PRICE BEFORE PLACING TICKETS. ITS BEST TO PLACE THE TRADE ORDERS AHEAD OF THE MARKET AND LET THE MARKET COME TO YOU. JUST PLACE THE TICKETS, WAIT AND BE PATIENT AND ALLOW THE MARKET TO COME TO YOU............
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*MOMTRIG = STOP RUNNER*
THIS IS WHERE LARGE ORDERS AND INSTITUTIONAL MONEY WILL ENTER THE MARKET I.E. WHERE STOPS WILL BE RUN. THIS IS ALSO KNOWN AS "THE INTRADAY PRICE INFLECTION POINT".
*NOTE:*
THIS IS WHERE THE MARKET NEEDS TO CLOSE IN ORDER SO MAINTAIN THE CURRENT TREND OR SHIFT TRENDS.
IN A BEAR MARKET THIS IS WHERE THE MARKET NEEDS TO CLOSE ABOVE ON THE DAILY/WEEKLY CHART IN ORDER TO PUT IN A SHORT TERM BOTTOM.
IN A BULL MARKET THIS IS WHERE THE MARKET NEEDS TO CLOSE BELOW ON THE DAILY/WEEKLY CHART IN ORDER TO PUT IN A SHORT TERM TOP.
GREEN = POSSIBLE HEAVY BUYING AT PRICE INFLECTION POINT.
RED = POSSIBLE HEAVY SELLING AT PRICE INFLECTION POINT.
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*52 WEEK HIGH*
*THIS ACTS AS YOUR 2nd OPTION FOR INITIAL STOP-LOSS WHEN SHORTING*
*NOTE:*
THIS IS A SPECIFIC ALGO COLUMN THAT TAKES INTO ACCOUNT KEY RESISTANCE AREAS BASED ON BOTH DAILY AND WEEKLY CHARTS. HOWEVER, THE DIFFERENCE IS THAT THE SYSTEM LOOKS AT KEY INTRADAY DATA TO DETERMINE WHICH OF THE CURRENT KEY AREAS ARE MORE IMPORTANT SUCH AS 52 WEEK HIGH, 10 DAY HIGH AND INTRADAY PRICE INFLECTION POINTS. SO FOR EXAMPLE IF THE 52 WEEK HIGH IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN THE 5 DAY HIGH THEN THE 52 WEEK HIGH WILL GIVEN MORE WEIGHT.
{==================================================================}
General Advice Disclosure: Please note that the advice contained herein is general advice and is for the purposes of education only. The risk of loss in trading futures contracts, commodity options, stocks, stock options and forex currencies can be substantial, and therefore investors should understand the risks involved in taking leveraged positions and must assume responsibility for the risks associated with such investments and for their results. You are reminded that past performance is no guarantee or reliable indication of future results. It has not been prepared taking into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs.You should therefore assess whether the advice is appropriate to your individual investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs. You should do this before making an investment decision based on this general advice. You can either make the assessment yourself or seek the help of a professional adviser. This commentary is not a recommendation to buy or sell, but rather a guideline to interpreting the specified indicators. This information should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in securities trading. The Vulcan Report accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of this expert or its contents.liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of this expert or its contents. For Related news and other stories please visit - http://www.wideawakenews.com/ For Related videos on our Youtube channel please visit - http://www.youtube.com/user/pulsescan72 Be Sure to register for faster updates and commentaries at - BLOG 1: - http://pulsescan.blogspot.com/ BLOG 2: - http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/466159-pulsescan72/ BULLS make money... BEARS make money.... PIGS get slaughtered! "TAKE WHAT YOU CAN .........GIVE NOTHING BACK"!!
*Dec E-mini S&Ps (ESZ18 -0.46%) this morning are down -0.58% ahead of this morning's U.S. Nov non-farm payroll report. Trade concerns continue to weigh on U.S. equity markets after the arrest of the CFO of China's Huawei in Canada for possible violation of banking laws as Huawei sought to evade sanctions against Iran by routing a series of transactions through HSBC Holdings Plc. Markets are concerned that China may retaliate for her arrest by ending trade talks with the U.S. Weakness in energy stocks is also weighing on U.S. stock indexes with Jan WTI crude oil (CLF19 +0.85%) down -0.12%. Crude oil gave up overnight gains after an OPEC delegate said that talks are deadlocked over crude production cuts as Iran said it will not accept a symbolic output cap. European stocks are up +1.00% as they recover from Thursday's slide to a 2-year low. Asian stocks settled mostly higher: Japan +0.82%, Hong Kong -0.35%, China +0.03%, Taiwan +0.79%, Australia +0.42%, Singapore -0.14%, South Korea +0.41%, India +1.02%. Japanese stocks rallied on stronger-than-expected Oct labor earnings, which may lead to a boost in consumer spending.
*The dollar index (DXY00 -0.01%) is down -0.01%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD +0.05%) is up +0.04%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY +0.13%) is up +0.12%.
*Mar 10-year T-note prices (ZNH19 -0-025) are down -2 ticks.
*Fed Chair Powell said, "our economy is currently performing very well overall, with strong job creation and gradually rising wages. Our labor market is very strong."
*Eurozone Q3 GDP was revised downward to +1.6% y/y from the previously reported +1.7% y/y, the slowest pace of growth since Q4 of 2014.
*German Oct industrial production unexpectedly fell -0.5% m/m, weaker than expectations of +0.3% m/m.
*Japan Oct labor cash earnings rose +1.5% y/y, stronger than expectations of +1.0% y/y, Oct real cash earnings fell -0.1% y/y, stronger than expectations of -0.3% y/y.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
**U.S. Stock Preview**
*Key U.S. news today includes: (1) Nov non-farm payrolls (expected +198,000, Oct +250,000) and Nov unemployment rate (expected unch at 3.7%, Oct unch at 3.7%), (2) Nov avg hourly earnings (expected +0.3% m/m and +3.1% y/y, Oct +0.2% m/m and +3.1% y/y), (3) revised Oct wholesale inventories (previous +0.7%), (4) preliminary-Dec University of Michigan U.S. consumer sentiment (expected -0.5 to 97.0, Nov -1.1 to 97.5), (5) Fed Governor Lael Brainard speaks about current financial stability issues at the Peterson Institute in Washington D.C., (6) Oct consumer credit (expected +$15.000 billion, Sep +10.923 billion).
*Notable Russell 1000 earnings reports today include: Vail Resorts (consensus $-2.46).
*U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: none.
*Equity conferences during the remainder of this week: none.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
**Overnight U.S. Stock Movers**
*Expeditors International (EXPD -1.64%) was downgraded to 'Sell' from 'Neutral' at Goldman Sachs with a price target of $68.
*Broadcom (AVGO -2.07%) climbed more than 6% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS from continuing operations at $5.85, better than consensus of $5.56.
*Ulta Beauty (ULTA +0.61%) dropped 5% on after-hours trading after it forecast Q4 revenue of $2.085 billion to $2.103 billion, weaker than consensus of $2.12 billion.
*WD-40 (WDFC -0.95%) was rated a new 'Buy' at D.A. Davidson with a price target of $209.
*Lululemon Athletica (LULU -1.63%) fell 4% in after-hours trading after it forecast Q4 comparable-store sales will rise in the high-single or low-double digits, weaker than the 18% increase in Q3.
*Zendesk (ZEN +2.39%) was rated a new 'Outperform' at Wedbush with a price target of $71.
*Global Blood Therapeutics (GBT +2.68%) slid nearly 6% in after-hours trading after it announced an agreement to sell $150 million in shares of its common stock in a registered underwritten public offering.
*Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL +1.56%) jumped 9% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 net sales of $160.8 million, above consensus of $129.4 million, and then forecast full-year net sales of $625 million to $640 million, stronger than consensus of $609.8 million.
*United Natural Foods (UNFI -2.90%) slid 6% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 59 cents, well below consensus of 73 cents.
*Zumiez (ZUMZ +0.26%) fell 7% in after-hours trading after it forecast Q4 net sales of $295 million to $301 million, weaker than consensus of $312.4 million.
*Domo (DOMO -1.14%) rose 4% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 revenue of $36.8 million, better than consensus of $35.0 million, and then forecast Q4 revenue of $37.5 million to $37.9 million, higher than consensus of $35.7 million.
*American Outdoor Brands (AOBC +3.30%) rallied more than 13% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 net sales of $161.7 million, higher than consensus of $154.1 million, and then forecast full-year net sales of $625 million to $635 million, stronger than consensus of $$624.9 million.
*Quotient Ltd (QTNT +0.87%) dropped 6% in after-hours trading after it announced that it intends to sell $50 million of its common stock in an underwritten public offering.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
**Market Comments**
*Dec S&P 500 E-minis (ESZ18 -0.46%) this morning are down -15.50 points (-0.58%). Thursday's closes: S&P 500 -0.15%, Dow Jones -0.64%, Nasdaq 100 +0.78%. The S&P 500 on Thursday tumbled to a 5-week low but then recovered to close just slightly lower. Stocks opened sharply lower on the arrest of Wanzhou Meng, CFO of Huawei Technologies, for violations of U.S. sanctions on Iran, which could threaten the recent trade truce between the U.S. and China. Energy stocks were undercut by the -2.65% slide in crude oil prices.
*Mar 10-year T-notes (ZNH19 -0-025) this morning are down -2 ticks. Thursday's closes: TYH9 +12.50, FVH9 +8.50. Mar 10-year T-notes on Thursday rallied to a contract high and closed higher on the slump in the S&P 500 to a 5-week low, which spurred safe-haven demand for T-notes. T-notes were also boosted by reduced inflation expectations after the 10-year T-note breakeven inflation expectations rate tumbled to an 11-3/4 month low.
*The dollar index (DXY00 -0.01%) this morning is down -0.005 (-0.01%), EUR/USD (^EURUSD +0.05%) is up +0.0004 (+0.04%), and USD/JPY (^USDJPY +0.13%) is up +0.14 (+0.12%). Thursday's closes: Dollar Index -0.260 (-0.27%), EUR/USD +0.0030 (+0.26%), USD/JPY -0.51 (-0.45%). The dollar index on Thursday closed lower on weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data on Nov ADP employment and Oct factory orders. In addition, the sharp early sell-off in stocks sent USD/JPY down to a 5-week low on increased safe-haven demand for the yen.
*Metals prices this morning are higher with Feb gold (GCG19 +0.24%) +3.0 (+0.24%), Mar silver (SIH19 +0.42%) +0.051 (+0.35%), and Mar copper (HGH19 +0.71%) +0.016 (+0.57%). Thursday's closes: Feb Comex gold (GCG19) on Thursday closed up +1.0 (+0.08%) and Mar Comex silver (SIH19) closed down -0.073 (-0.50%). A weaker dollar and a slump in the S&P 500 to a 5-week low Thursday boosted safe-haven demand for gold and lifted Feb gold prices to a 6-week high. Mar silver moved lower Thursday on fund selling tied to demand concerns. Long silver positions in ETFs fell to a 3-week low of 528.16 mln troy ounces on Wednesday, a sign of fund selling. Meanwhile, U.S. Oct factory orders fell -2.1% m/m, the biggest decline in 15 months, which is negative for industrial metals demand. Gold gave up most of its gains Thursday on reduced inflation expectations after the 10-year T-note inflation expectations rate tumbled to an 11-1/2 month low, which curbs demand for gold as an inflation hedge.
*Jan WTI crude oil prices (CLF19 +0.85%) this morning are down -6 cents (-0.12%) and Jan gasoline (RBF19 +1.58%) is up +0.082 (+0.57%). Thursday's closes: Jan WTI crude oil (CLF19) on Thursday closed down by -$1.40 per barrel (-2.65%) and Feb Brent crude (CBG19) closed down -$1.50 (-2.44%). Jan RBOB gasoline (RBF19) closed down by -1.22 cents per gallon (-0.84%). The energy complex sold-off Thursday after OPEC+ producers failed to come to an agreement on a crude production cut. Prices remained lower on concern OPEC+ producers will fail to cut crude production enough to curb oversupply after Saudi Oil Minister Khalid Al-Falih said Thursday that a cut of about 1 million bpd from OPEC+ should be adequate, which is less than estimates from OPEC+ delegates last week for a -1.3 million bpd cut in production to curb global oversupply. Crude prices recovered from their worst levels after the EIA reported that U.S. crude inventories last week fell -7.23 million bbl, a much bigger than decline than expectations of -2.0 million bbl. Also, strong foreign demand for U.S. crude is supportive after U.S. crude exports in the week ended Nov 30 rose +761,000 bpd to a record 3.203 million bpd.
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*PLACING TRADES*
HOW TO READ THE MARKET
OK SO IF YOU LOOK AT TODAYS SHEET YOU WILL LOOK FOR YOUR BUY/SELL SIGNALS FIRST. THE BUY SELL SIGNAL IS LOCATED UNDER THE "POSMOM" & "NEGMOM" COLUMNS. FOR BUYS SIGNALS YOUR LOOKING FOR EITHER A "311", "411" OR "911" LIKEWISE FOR SELL SIGNALS. BUY AND SELL ARE BASED ON THE POS MOM AND NEG MOM THERE IS ALSO "11" WHICH MEANS THAT THE MARKET IS LOCKED IN WITH EITHER BULLISH OR BEARISH MOMENTUM. THIS IS ANALOGOUS TO A CONTINUATION PATTERN IN EITHER DIRECTION. NEXT YOU LOOK AT THE "TREND" COLUMN. IS YOU HAVE A BUY SIGNAL (AS INDICATED ABOVE) THEN YOU KNOW THAT YOU WILL BE TRADING WITH THE TREND IS THERE IS A "3","2" OR "1" IN THE TREND COLUMN. 3 IS A MATURE STAGE 3 TREND. EVERYTHING IS LOCKED IN MOMENTUM WISE. 2 IS A STAGE 2 TREND THAT IS STRENGTHENING AND WILL BECOME A STAGE 3 SOON. 1 IS THE BEGINNING STAGE OF A TREND THAT DEVELOPING. NEXT......IS THE MARKET TIMING. THATS WHERE THE PRICE TRIGGERS COME INTO PLAY. FOR LONGS YOU CAN ENTER @ THE "ENTRY" COLUMN OR TAKE A MORE CONSERVATIVE APPROACH (IF THE "52WK" COLUMN IS GREATER THAN THE "ENTRY" COLUMN) AND ENTER AT THE "52WK" TRIGGER. ONCE YOU HAVE MADE YOUR DECISION YOU SIMPLY PLACE THE TICKET AND WAIT FOR THE MARKET TO COME TO YOU.
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*EXITS* - THERE ARE TWO WAYS TO DO EXITS. FIRST YOU CAN EXIT WHEN THE OPPOSITE PRICE TRIGGER IS HIT.
EXITS WORK LIKE ENTRY POINTS. YOU LET THE MARKET COME TO YOU. THE MORE CONSERVATIVE APPROACH IS TO USE THE "STOPLOSS" COLUMN AS YOUR EXIT ON LONG POSITIONS AND USE THE "ENTRY" COLUMN TO EXIT ON SHORT POSITIONS.
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*SHORT SELL*
THIS IS WHERE YOU SELL SHORT. THIS IS THE 1ST ENTRY PRICE TO GET SHORT.
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*ENTRY*
KEEP IN MIND THAT IF THIS FIELD IS BLANK THEN DO NOT BUY. SHORTS HAVE CONTROL OF THE MARKET AND THE SYSTEM IS STAYING FLAT. THE ONLY OPTION IS TO EITHER SELL SHORT IF THERE IS AN ENTRY PRICE INDICATED UNDER THE "SHORTSELL" COLUMN. OR STAY FLAT ON THE SIDELINES OR TIGHTEN UP THE STOP IF YOU ARE LONG. YOU CAN USE THE SHORTSELL ENTRY AS YOUR STOP LOSS ON OPEN LONGS.
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*SELLSTOP*
THIS ACTS AS YOUR "SELLSTOP" ON LONG POSITIONS. IF YOU BOUGHT SOMETHING THIS IS WERE YOU SELL IT TO GET OUT. THIS PRICE TRIGGER ALSO ACTS AS YOUR STOP & REVERSE TO GET SHORT WHEN STOPPED OUT OF LONG POSITIONS. THEREFORE THE SELLSTOP ALSO FUNCTIONS AS THE 2nd ENTRY PRICE TO GET SHORT.
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*Positive-Momentum Meaning*:
11 Positive Momentum
311 SWING TRADE POSITIVE (LONG POSITION SIGNAL)
411 Oversold. Positive Swing VIX (Bottoming)
911 Rally Alert
999 MOMENTUM SHIFT ALERT - (FROM NEUTRAL/BEARISH TO BULLISH)
****UPDATE****
THE POMOM & NEGMOM COLUMNS ARE YOUR RALLY & CRASH ALERT USED TO TIME THE ENTRY OF MARKETS. ALSO LOOK FOR THE "11" WHICH IS A LOCKED IN MOMENTUM IN THE MARKET. SO THE RALLY/CRASH ALERT COLUMN IS YOUR BUY/SELL ALERT SECTION. LIKEWISE, THE UPTREND/DOWNTREND COLUMNS TRACK THE MARKETS CURRENT TREND AND THE STRENGTH THEREIN. A READING OF "3" IS A LOCKED IN MATURE MARKET WITH PARABOLIC MOMENTUM. A READING OF "2" INDICATES A MATURE MARKET THAT IS GAINING STRENGTH. A READING OF "1" IS THE BEGINNING STAGES OF A TREND THAT IS DEVELOPING.
SO WHEN YOU SEE A RALLY/CRASH ALERT YOU SHOULD PLACE THE BUY ORDER AHEAD OF THE MARKET USING THE "ENTRY" COLUMN PRICE. USE THE "SELLSHORT" COLUMN PRICE TO PLACE SHORT TICKETS AHEAD OF THE MARKET. NOTE: YOU DO NOT HAVE TO WAIT FOR THE MARKET TO TRIGGER THE PRICE BEFORE PLACING TICKETS. ITS BEST TO PLACE THE TRADE ORDERS AHEAD OF THE MARKET AND LET THE MARKET COME TO YOU. JUST PLACE THE TICKETS, WAIT AND BE PATIENT AND ALLOW THE MARKET TO COME TO YOU............
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*Uptrend - Meaning*
*PULSEWAVE PRICE CYCLE TREND*
A.K.A "PWPCT"
0 - NO TREND
88 - KUMO CLOUD OF DEATH (CONSOLIDATED SIDEWAYS MARKET)
1 - STAGE ONE PWPCT - BULL MARKET UPTREND FORMING
2 - STAGE TWO PWPCT - STRENGTHENING BULL MARKET UPTREND
3 - STAGE THREE PWPCT - LOCKED IN BULL MARKET UPTREND W/STRONG MOMENTUM
****UPDATE****
THE POMOM & NEGMOM COLUMNS ARE YOUR RALLY & CRASH ALERT USED TO TIME THE ENTRY OF MARKETS. ALSO LOOK FOR THE "11" WHICH IS A LOCKED IN MOMENTUM IN THE MARKET. SO THE RALLY/CRASH ALERT COLUMN IS YOUR BUY/SELL ALERT SECTION. LIKEWISE, THE UPTREND/DOWNTREND COLUMNS TRACK THE MARKETS CURRENT TREND AND THE STRENGTH THEREIN. A READING OF "3" IS A LOCKED IN MATURE MARKET WITH PARABOLIC MOMENTUM. A READING OF "2" INDICATES A MATURE MARKET THAT IS GAINING STRENGTH. A READING OF "1" IS THE BEGINNING STAGES OF A TREND THAT IS DEVELOPING.
SO WHEN YOU SEE A RALLY/CRASH ALERT YOU SHOULD PLACE THE BUY ORDER AHEAD OF THE MARKET USING THE "ENTRY" COLUMN PRICE. USE THE "SELLSHORT" COLUMN PRICE TO PLACE SHORT TICKETS AHEAD OF THE MARKET. NOTE: YOU DO NOT HAVE TO WAIT FOR THE MARKET TO TRIGGER THE PRICE BEFORE PLACING TICKETS. ITS BEST TO PLACE THE TRADE ORDERS AHEAD OF THE MARKET AND LET THE MARKET COME TO YOU. JUST PLACE THE TICKETS, WAIT AND BE PATIENT AND ALLOW THE MARKET TO COME TO YOU............
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*Downtrend - Meaning*
*PULSEWAVE PRICE CYCLE TREND*
A.K.A "PWPCT"
0 - NO TREND
-88 - KUMO CLOUD OF DEATH (CONSOLIDATED SIDEWAYS MARKET)
-1 - STAGE ONE PWPCT - BEAR MARKET DOWNTREND FORMING
-2 - STAGE TWO PWPCT - STRENGTHENING BEAR MARKET DOWNTREND
-3 - STAGE THREE PWPCT - LOCKED IN BEAR MARKET DOWNTREND W/STRONG MOMENTUM
****UPDATE****
THE POMOM & NEGMOM COLUMNS ARE YOUR RALLY & CRASH ALERT USED TO TIME THE ENTRY OF MARKETS. ALSO LOOK FOR THE "11" WHICH IS A LOCKED IN MOMENTUM IN THE MARKET. SO THE RALLY/CRASH ALERT COLUMN IS YOUR BUY/SELL ALERT SECTION. LIKEWISE, THE UPTREND/DOWNTREND COLUMNS TRACK THE MARKETS CURRENT TREND AND THE STRENGTH THEREIN. A READING OF "3" IS A LOCKED IN MATURE MARKET WITH PARABOLIC MOMENTUM. A READING OF "2" INDICATES A MATURE MARKET THAT IS GAINING STRENGTH. A READING OF "1" IS THE BEGINNING STAGES OF A TREND THAT IS DEVELOPING.
SO WHEN YOU SEE A RALLY/CRASH ALERT YOU SHOULD PLACE THE BUY ORDER AHEAD OF THE MARKET USING THE "ENTRY" COLUMN PRICE. USE THE "SELLSHORT" COLUMN PRICE TO PLACE SHORT TICKETS AHEAD OF THE MARKET. NOTE: YOU DO NOT HAVE TO WAIT FOR THE MARKET TO TRIGGER THE PRICE BEFORE PLACING TICKETS. ITS BEST TO PLACE THE TRADE ORDERS AHEAD OF THE MARKET AND LET THE MARKET COME TO YOU. JUST PLACE THE TICKETS, WAIT AND BE PATIENT AND ALLOW THE MARKET TO COME TO YOU............
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*Negative-Momentum Meaning*:
-11 Negative Momentum
-311 SWING TRADE POSITIVE (SHORT POSITION SIGNAL)
-411 Overbought. Negative Swing VIX (Topping out)
-911 Crash Alert
-777 MOMENTUM SHIFT ALERT - (FROM NEUTRAL/BULLISH TO BEARISH)
****UPDATE****
THE POMOM & NEGMOM COLUMNS ARE YOUR RALLY & CRASH ALERT USED TO TIME THE ENTRY OF MARKETS. ALSO LOOK FOR THE "11" WHICH IS A LOCKED IN MOMENTUM IN THE MARKET. SO THE RALLY/CRASH ALERT COLUMN IS YOUR BUY/SELL ALERT SECTION. LIKEWISE, THE UPTREND/DOWNTREND COLUMNS TRACK THE MARKETS CURRENT TREND AND THE STRENGTH THEREIN. A READING OF "3" IS A LOCKED IN MATURE MARKET WITH PARABOLIC MOMENTUM. A READING OF "2" INDICATES A MATURE MARKET THAT IS GAINING STRENGTH. A READING OF "1" IS THE BEGINNING STAGES OF A TREND THAT IS DEVELOPING.
SO WHEN YOU SEE A RALLY/CRASH ALERT YOU SHOULD PLACE THE BUY ORDER AHEAD OF THE MARKET USING THE "ENTRY" COLUMN PRICE. USE THE "SELLSHORT" COLUMN PRICE TO PLACE SHORT TICKETS AHEAD OF THE MARKET. NOTE: YOU DO NOT HAVE TO WAIT FOR THE MARKET TO TRIGGER THE PRICE BEFORE PLACING TICKETS. ITS BEST TO PLACE THE TRADE ORDERS AHEAD OF THE MARKET AND LET THE MARKET COME TO YOU. JUST PLACE THE TICKETS, WAIT AND BE PATIENT AND ALLOW THE MARKET TO COME TO YOU............
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*MOMTRIG = STOP RUNNER*
THIS IS WHERE LARGE ORDERS AND INSTITUTIONAL MONEY WILL ENTER THE MARKET I.E. WHERE STOPS WILL BE RUN. THIS IS ALSO KNOWN AS "THE INTRADAY PRICE INFLECTION POINT".
*NOTE:*
THIS IS WHERE THE MARKET NEEDS TO CLOSE IN ORDER SO MAINTAIN THE CURRENT TREND OR SHIFT TRENDS.
IN A BEAR MARKET THIS IS WHERE THE MARKET NEEDS TO CLOSE ABOVE ON THE DAILY/WEEKLY CHART IN ORDER TO PUT IN A SHORT TERM BOTTOM.
IN A BULL MARKET THIS IS WHERE THE MARKET NEEDS TO CLOSE BELOW ON THE DAILY/WEEKLY CHART IN ORDER TO PUT IN A SHORT TERM TOP.
GREEN = POSSIBLE HEAVY BUYING AT PRICE INFLECTION POINT.
RED = POSSIBLE HEAVY SELLING AT PRICE INFLECTION POINT.
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*52 WEEK HIGH*
*THIS ACTS AS YOUR 2nd OPTION FOR INITIAL STOP-LOSS WHEN SHORTING*
*NOTE:*
THIS IS A SPECIFIC ALGO COLUMN THAT TAKES INTO ACCOUNT KEY RESISTANCE AREAS BASED ON BOTH DAILY AND WEEKLY CHARTS. HOWEVER, THE DIFFERENCE IS THAT THE SYSTEM LOOKS AT KEY INTRADAY DATA TO DETERMINE WHICH OF THE CURRENT KEY AREAS ARE MORE IMPORTANT SUCH AS 52 WEEK HIGH, 10 DAY HIGH AND INTRADAY PRICE INFLECTION POINTS. SO FOR EXAMPLE IF THE 52 WEEK HIGH IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN THE 5 DAY HIGH THEN THE 52 WEEK HIGH WILL GIVEN MORE WEIGHT.
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General Advice Disclosure: Please note that the advice contained herein is general advice and is for the purposes of education only. The risk of loss in trading futures contracts, commodity options, stocks, stock options and forex currencies can be substantial, and therefore investors should understand the risks involved in taking leveraged positions and must assume responsibility for the risks associated with such investments and for their results. You are reminded that past performance is no guarantee or reliable indication of future results. It has not been prepared taking into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs.You should therefore assess whether the advice is appropriate to your individual investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs. You should do this before making an investment decision based on this general advice. You can either make the assessment yourself or seek the help of a professional adviser. This commentary is not a recommendation to buy or sell, but rather a guideline to interpreting the specified indicators. This information should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in securities trading. The Vulcan Report accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of this expert or its contents.liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of this expert or its contents. For Related news and other stories please visit - http://www.wideawakenews.com/ For Related videos on our Youtube channel please visit - http://www.youtube.com/user/pulsescan72 Be Sure to register for faster updates and commentaries at - BLOG 1: - http://pulsescan.blogspot.com/ BLOG 2: - http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/466159-pulsescan72/ BULLS make money... BEARS make money.... PIGS get slaughtered! "TAKE WHAT YOU CAN .........GIVE NOTHING BACK"!!
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