7/26/2011 - SPY

THE VULCAN REPORT
Review of SPY (SPY)
as of Monday, July 25, 2011


Today's Price Action


Change   -0.7500 (-0.56%) prices closed higher than they opened.  with strong Bids going into the close.


Three white candles occurred in the last three days.  Although these candles were not big enough to create three white soldiers, the steady upward pattern is bullish.


     MARKET SENTIMENT
  
PulseScan Swing Vix


PulseScan:     16.33
Swing Vix:     12.74


The Market Pulse is positive since it is trading above its zero signal line.The PulseScan crossed above the Swing Vix creating a UP Trend Channel as of    2 period(s) ago. The Swing Vix is not currently in a topping (above 39) or bottoming (below -39) range.    
A buy or sell signal is generated when the Swing Vix moves out of an overbought/oversold area.  


*The last signal was a Over-Bought Sell 10 period(s) Ago.
The Swing Vix does not currently show any Failure Swings.The Swing Vix and price are not diverging.
      
  *Since the last Swing Vix signal, SPY's price has decreased 0.49%, and has ranged from a high of 134.82 to a low of 132.67.


     MOMENTUM


     MARKET TREND - Currently the TREND is .


        TREND STRENGTH - WEAK - RANGE BOUND (Prices have ceased trending and have become consolidated at this time) The market has put in a short term top. This means that the bulls are liquidating long positions thus taking some profit off the table.,


TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT
The close is currently Above it's PulseWave Cycle TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. -   120.74
The close is currently Above it's Long Term TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. -   125.48
The close is currently Above  it's Intermediate Term TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. -   131.61 
The close is currently Above  it's Short Term TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. -   132.87 


INTRADAY PRICE PROJECTIONS
RESISTANCE   134.56
SUPPORT   133.09


WEEKLY PULSE WAVE PRICE PROJECTIONS
PulseWave BreakOut RESISTANCE -   133.22
PulseWave BreakOut SUPPORT -   129.63


MONTHLY PRICE PROJECTIONS
BULL MARKET UPTREND - (12-18mo) PRICE TARGET =   170.07
Long term Trend Line resistance is currently at -   137.18
Long term Trend Line support is currently at -   120.74


MONTHLY PRICE PROJECTIONS
BUBBLE PHASE 3 - (72mo+) (TULIP CRAZE CRASH IMMANENT) PRICE TARGET =   268.74
BUBBLE PHASE 2 - (42-60mo) (MARKET FRENZY BUYING) PRICE TARGET =   235.85
BUBBLE PHASE I - (24-36mo) PRICE TARGET =   202.96


VOLATILITY
On 7/25/2011, SPY closed   
below the upper band by 31.0%.
This combined with the steep uptrend suggests that the upward trend in prices has a good chance of continuing.  However, a short-term pull-back inside the bands is likely.     

Risk Disclosure

General Advice Disclosure: Please note that the advice contained herein is general advice and is for the purposes of education only. The risk of loss in trading futures contracts, commodity options, stocks, stock options and forex currencies can be substantial, and therefore investors should understand the risks involved in taking leveraged positions and must assume responsibility for the risks associated with such investments and for their results. You are reminded that past performance is no guarantee or reliable indication of future results. It has not been prepared taking into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs.You should therefore assess whether the advice is appropriate to your individual investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs. You should do this before making an investment decision based on this general advice. You can either make the assessment yourself or seek the help of a professional adviser.


This commentary is not a recommendation to buy or sell, but rather a guideline to interpreting the specified indicators. This information should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in securities trading. The Vulcan Report accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of this expert or its contents.liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of this expert or its contents.


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