Monday, August 15, 2011

8/15/2011 - SPY - S&P 500 ETF


THE VULCAN REPORT
Review of $1$ SPY - S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
as of Friday, August 12, 2011


Today's Price Action


Change   prices closed lower than they opened. with weak Bids going into the close.  0.7900 (0.67%) 


A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body).  Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close).  During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.


     MARKET SENTIMENT
  
PulseScan Swing Vix


PulseScan:    -29.63
Swing Vix:    -31.17


The Market Pulse is negative since it is trading below its zero signal line.The PulseScan crossed above the Swing Vix creating a UP Trend Channel as of    1 period(s) ago.   
A buy or sell signal is generated when the Swing Vix moves out of an overbought/oversold area.  


*The last signal was a Over-Sold Buy  3 period(s) Ago.
The Swing Vix does not currently show any Failure Swings.The Swing Vix and price are not diverging.
      
  *Since the last Swing Vix signal, $1$ SPY - S&P 500 ETF's price has increased 0.67% , and has ranged from a high of 119.21 to a low of 112.32.


     MOMENTUM


     MARKET TREND - Currently the TREND is VERY-BEARISH - Heavy Distribution.


        TREND STRENGTH - WEAK - RANGE BOUND  (Prices have ceased trending and have become consolidated at this time) The market has put in a short term bottom. This means that the bears are liquidating short positions thus taking some profit off the table.,,,BEARISH MOMENTUM


TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT
The close is currently Below it's PulseWave Cycle TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. -   120.74
The close is currently Below it's Long Term TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. -   125.25


INTRADAY PRICE PROJECTIONS
RESISTANCE   119.31 -  GO LONG here   120.14 place stoploss here   116.27


SUPPORT   117.18 -  -  


WEEKLY PULSE WAVE PRICE PROJECTIONS
PulseWave BreakOut RESISTANCE -   136.14-  
PulseWave BreakOut SUPPORT -   128.86-  


MONTHLY PRICE PROJECTIONS
Long term Trend Line resistance is currently at -   120.74
Long term Trend Line support is currently at -   104.29
BEAR MARKET DOWNTREND - (12-18mo)  PRICE TARGET =    71.40


VOLATILITY
On 8/12/2011, $1$ SPY - S&P 500 ETF closed   
above the lower band by 23.1%.
This combined with the steep downtrend suggests that the downward trend in prices has a good chance of continuing.  However, a short-term pull-back inside the bands is likely.  


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