Tuesday, September 7, 2010

9/7/2010 - Gold Spot

THE VULCAN REPORT
Review of XAU/USD - GOLD Spot (XAU USD)
as of Monday, September 06, 2010


Today's Price Action


Change   with weak Bids going into the close.  0.4401 (0.04%) prices closed higher than they opened. 


A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body).  Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close).  During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.






     MARKET SENTIMENT
  
PulseScan Swing Vix


PulseScan:     35.59
Swing Vix:     35.19


The Market Pulse is positive since it is trading above its zero signal line.The PulseScan crossed above the Swing Vix creating a UP Trend Channel as of    0 period(s) ago.This means that positive momentum has entered the market. Expect sideways to higher prices within the next 3-5 days The Swing Vix is above 29.  This is where it usually forms Resistance.  The Swing Vix usually forms Resistance before the underlying security.  
A buy or sell signal is generated when the Swing Vix moves out of an overbought/oversold area.  


*The last signal was a Over-Bought Sell  5 period(s) Ago.
The Swing Vix does not currently show any Failure Swings.The Swing Vix and price are not diverging.
      
  *Since the last Swing Vix signal, XAU/USD - GOLD Spot's price has been unchanged, and has ranged from a high of 1,251.2900 to a low of 1,247.5800.


     MOMENTUM


     MARKET TREND - Currently the TREND is VERY-BULLISH - Heavy Accumulation.


        TREND STRENGTH - WEAK - RANGE BOUND (Prices have ceased trending and have become consolidated at this time) The market has put in a short term top. This means that the bulls are liquidating long positions thus taking some profit off the table.,


TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT
The close is currently Above it's PulseWave Cycle TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. - 1,123.8051
The close is currently Above it's Long Term TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. - 1,137.0726
The close is currently Above  it's Intermediate Term TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. - 1,216.1412 
The close is currently Above  it's Short Term TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. - 1,243.0208 




INTRADAY PRICE PROJECTIONS
RESISTANCE 1,250.4553
SUPPORT 1,248.4148


WEEKLY PULSE WAVE PRICE PROJECTIONS
PulseWave BreakOut RESISTANCE - 1,254.8199
PulseWave BreakOut SUPPORT - 1,237.9399


MONTHLY PRICE PROJECTIONS
BULL MARKET UPTREND - (12-18mo) PRICE TARGET = 1,547.4500
Long term Trend Line resistance is currently at - 1,265.0200
Long term Trend Line support is currently at - 1,123.8051


MONTHLY PRICE PROJECTIONS
BUBBLE PHASE 3 - (72mo+) (TULIP CRAZE CRASH IMMANENT) PRICE TARGET = 2,394.7400
BUBBLE PHASE 2 - (42-60mo) (MARKET FRENZY BUYING) PRICE TARGET = 2,112.3101
BUBBLE PHASE I - (24-36mo) PRICE TARGET = 1,829.8800


VOLATILITY
On 9/6/2010, XAU/USD - GOLD Spot closed   
below the upper band by 19.7%.
This combined with the steep uptrend suggests that the upward trend in prices has a good chance of continuing.  However, a short-term pull-back inside the bands is likely.    









Risk Disclosure


General Advice Disclosure: Please note that the advice contained herein is general advice and is for the purposes of education only. The risk of loss in trading futures contracts, commodity options, stocks, stock options and forex currencies can be substantial, and therefore investors should understand the risks involved in taking leveraged positions and must assume responsibility for the risks associated with such investments and for their results. You are reminded that past performance is no guarantee or reliable indication of future results. It has not been prepared taking into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs.You should therefore assess whether the advice is appropriate to your individual investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs. You should do this before making an investment decision based on this general advice. You can either make the assessment yourself or seek the help of a professional adviser. This commentary is not a recommendation to buy or sell, but rather a guideline to interpreting the specified indicators. This information should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in securities trading. The Vulcan Report accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of this expert or its contents.liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of this expert or its contents.


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