Tuesday, September 7, 2010

9/7/2010 - SPY - THE VULCAN REPORT Review of SPY - S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as of Friday, September 03, 2010

THE VULCAN REPORT
Review of SPY - S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
as of Friday, September 03, 2010


Today's Price Action


Change    1.4200 (1.30%) prices closed higher than they opened.  with strong Bids going into the close.


A rising window occurred  (where the top of the previous shadow is below the bottom of the current shadow).  This usually implies a continuation of a bullish trend.  There have been 5 rising windows in the last 50 candles--this makes the current rising window even more bullish.
Three white candles occurred in the last three days.  Although these candles were not big enough to create three white soldiers, the steady upward pattern is bullish.






     MARKET SENTIMENT
  
PulseScan Swing Vix


PulseScan:      7.30
Swing Vix:      0.13


The Market Pulse is positive since it is trading above its zero signal line.The PulseScan crossed above the Swing Vix creating a UP Trend Channel as of    5 period(s) ago. The Swing Vix is not currently in a topping (above 39) or bottoming (below -39) range.    
A buy or sell signal is generated when the Swing Vix moves out of an overbought/oversold area.  


*The last signal was a Over-Bought Sell 17 period(s) Ago.
The Swing Vix has just reached its highest value in the last 14 period(s).  This is bullish.
      
  *Since the last Swing Vix signal, SPY - S&P 500 ETF's price has increased 3.77% , and has ranged from a high of 110.9900 to a low of 104.3100.


     MOMENTUM


     MARKET TREND - Currently the TREND is .There is currently no trend reading at this time.


        TREND STRENGTH - WEAK - RANGE BOUND (Prices have ceased trending and have become consolidated at this time) The market has put in a short term top. This means that the bulls are liquidating long positions thus taking some profit off the table.,


TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT
The close is currently Above it's PulseWave Cycle TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. - 110.1150
Today's Rally pushed prices on the close above the long term trendline resistance - This is Bullish as the market is now under heavy Accumulation.
The close is currently Above it's Long Term TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. - 108.5424
Today's Rally pushed prices on the close above the long term trendline resistance - This is Bullish as the market is now under heavy Accumulation.
The close is currently Above  it's Intermediate Term TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. - 109.1063 
The close is currently Above  it's Short Term TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. - 107.7908 




INTRADAY PRICE PROJECTIONS
RESISTANCE 110.7560
SUPPORT 110.1840


WEEKLY PULSE WAVE PRICE PROJECTIONS
PulseWave BreakOut RESISTANCE - 106.9700
PulseWave BreakOut SUPPORT - 104.3100


MONTHLY PRICE PROJECTIONS
BULL MARKET UPTREND - (12-18mo) PRICE TARGET = 146.1300
Long term Trend Line resistance is currently at - 122.1200
Long term Trend Line support is currently at - 110.1150


MONTHLY PRICE PROJECTIONS
BUBBLE PHASE 3 - (72mo+) (TULIP CRAZE CRASH IMMANENT) PRICE TARGET = 218.1600
BUBBLE PHASE 2 - (42-60mo) (MARKET FRENZY BUYING) PRICE TARGET = 194.1500
BUBBLE PHASE I - (24-36mo) PRICE TARGET = 170.1400


VOLATILITY
On 9/3/2010, SPY - S&P 500 ETF closed   
below the upper band by 19.8%.









Risk Disclosure


General Advice Disclosure: Please note that the advice contained herein is general advice and is for the purposes of education only. The risk of loss in trading futures contracts, commodity options, stocks, stock options and forex currencies can be substantial, and therefore investors should understand the risks involved in taking leveraged positions and must assume responsibility for the risks associated with such investments and for their results. You are reminded that past performance is no guarantee or reliable indication of future results. It has not been prepared taking into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs.You should therefore assess whether the advice is appropriate to your individual investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs. You should do this before making an investment decision based on this general advice. You can either make the assessment yourself or seek the help of a professional adviser. This commentary is not a recommendation to buy or sell, but rather a guideline to interpreting the specified indicators. This information should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in securities trading. The Vulcan Report accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of this expert or its contents.liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of this expert or its contents.


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