Tuesday, July 19, 2011

7/19/2011 - US DOLLAR INDEX FUTURES

THE VULCAN REPORT
Review of US DOLLAR INDEX (US@DX.1)
as of Monday, July 18, 2011


Today's Price Action


Change   with weak Bids going into the close.  0.0050 (0.01%) prices closed higher than they opened. 


A long upper shadow occurred.  This is typically a bearish signal (particularly when it occurs near a high price level, at resistance level, or when the security is overbought).
A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body).  Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close).  During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.
Three white candles occurred in the last three days.  Although these candles were not big enough to create three white soldiers, the steady upward pattern is bullish.


     MARKET SENTIMENT
  
PulseScan Swing Vix


PulseScan:     -2.40
Swing Vix:      0.33


The Market Pulse is negative since it is trading below its zero signal line.The PulseScan crossed below the Swing Vix creating a DOWN Trend Channel as of    1 period(s) ago. The Swing Vix is not currently in a topping (above 39) or bottoming (below -39) range.    
A buy or sell signal is generated when the Swing Vix moves out of an overbought/oversold area.  


*The last signal was a Over-Sold Buy 26 period(s) Ago.
The Swing Vix does not currently show any Failure Swings.The Swing Vix and price are not diverging.
      
  *Since the last Swing Vix signal, US DOLLAR INDEX's price has increased 0.01% , and has ranged from a high of  76.11 to a low of  75.32.


     MOMENTUM


     MARKET TREND - Currently the TREND is -The DownTrend is still entact with prices holding below trendline resistance at-    78.79.


        TREND STRENGTH - ,


TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT
The close is currently Below it's PulseWave Cycle TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. -    78.79
The close is currently Below it's Long Term TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. -    77.54
The close is currently Above  it's Intermediate Term TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. -    75.41 


The close is currently Above  it's Short Term TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. -    75.62 
Today's Rally pushed prices on the close above the short term trendline support


INTRADAY PRICE PROJECTIONS
RESISTANCE    76.15
SUPPORT    75.47


WEEKLY PULSE WAVE PRICE PROJECTIONS
PulseWave BreakOut RESISTANCE -    77.18
PulseWave BreakOut SUPPORT -    74.40


VOLATILITY
On 7/18/2011, US DOLLAR INDEX closed   
below the upper band by 40.1%.
This combined with the steep uptrend suggests that the upward trend in prices has a good chance of continuing.  However, a short-term pull-back inside the bands is likely.     



Risk Disclosure

General Advice Disclosure: Please note that the advice contained herein is general advice and is for the purposes of education onlyThe risk of loss in trading futures contracts, commodity options, stocks, stock options and forex currencies can be substantial, and therefore investors should understand the risks involved in taking leveraged positions and must assume responsibility for the risks associated with such investments and for their results. You are reminded that past performance is no guarantee or reliable indication of future results. It has not been prepared taking into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs.You should therefore assess whether the advice is appropriate to your individual investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs. You should do this before making an investment decision based on this general advice. You can either make the assessment yourself or seek the help of a professional adviser.


This commentary is not a recommendation to buy or sell, but rather a guideline to interpreting the specified indicators. This information should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in securities trading. The Vulcan Report accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of this expert or its contents.liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of this expert or its contents.


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