Wednesday, July 20, 2011

7/20/2011 - GOLD FUTURES

THE VULCAN REPORT
Review of $1XAU/USD - GOLD Spot (XAU USD)
as of Tuesday, July 19, 2011


Today's Price Action


Change  -16.4000 (-1.02%) prices closed lower than they opened. with weak Bids going into the close. 


An engulfing bearish line occurred (where a black candle's real body completely contains the previous white candle's real body).  The engulfing bearish pattern is bearish during an uptrend (which appears to be the case with $1XAU/USD - GOLD Spot).  It then signifies that the momentum may be shifting from the bulls to the bears.  


If the engulfing bearish pattern occurs during a downtrend, it may be a last engulfing bottom which indicates a bullish reversal.  The test to see if this is the case is if the next candle closes above the bottom the current (black) candle's real body.


     MARKET SENTIMENT
  
PulseScan Swing Vix


PulseScan:     43.57
Swing Vix:     44.00


The Market Pulse is positive since it is trading above its zero signal line.The PulseScan crossed below the Swing Vix creating a DOWN Trend Channel as of    0 period(s) ago. This means that negative momentum has entered the market. Expect sideways to lower prices within the next 3-5 days  
A buy or sell signal is generated when the Swing Vix moves out of an overbought/oversold area.  


*The last signal was a Over-Bought Sell 30 period(s) Ago.
The Swing Vix does not currently show any Failure Swings.The Swing Vix and price are not diverging.
      
  *Since the last Swing Vix signal, $1XAU/USD - GOLD Spot's price has been unchanged, and has ranged from a high of 1,610.70 to a low of 1,582.70.


     MOMENTUM


     MARKET TREND - Currently the TREND is VERY-BULLISH - Heavy Accumulation.


        TREND STRENGTH - STRONG - Bullish Trend,


TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT
The close is currently Above it's PulseWave Cycle TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. - 1,383.81
The close is currently Above it's Long Term TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. - 1,398.40
The close is currently Above  it's Intermediate Term TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. - 1,521.45 
The close is currently Above  it's Short Term TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. - 1,568.94 


INTRADAY PRICE PROJECTIONS
RESISTANCE 1,612.10
SUPPORT 1,581.30


WEEKLY PULSE WAVE PRICE PROJECTIONS
PulseWave BreakOut RESISTANCE - 1,610.70
PulseWave BreakOut SUPPORT - 1,480.00


MONTHLY PRICE PROJECTIONS
BULL MARKET UPTREND - (12-18mo) PRICE TARGET = 2,064.48
Long term Trend Line resistance is currently at - 1,610.70
Long term Trend Line support is currently at - 1,383.81


MONTHLY PRICE PROJECTIONS
BUBBLE PHASE 3 - (72mo+) (TULIP CRAZE CRASH IMMANENT) PRICE TARGET = 3,425.82
BUBBLE PHASE 2 - (42-60mo) (MARKET FRENZY BUYING) PRICE TARGET = 2,972.04
BUBBLE PHASE I - (24-36mo) PRICE TARGET = 2,518.26


VOLATILITY
On 7/19/2011, $1XAU/USD - GOLD Spot closed   
below the upper band by 16.7%.
   


Risk Disclosure

General Advice Disclosure: Please note that the advice contained herein is general advice and is for the purposes of education onlyThe risk of loss in trading futures contracts, commodity options, stocks, stock options and forex currencies can be substantial, and therefore investors should understand the risks involved in taking leveraged positions and must assume responsibility for the risks associated with such investments and for their results. You are reminded that past performance is no guarantee or reliable indication of future results. It has not been prepared taking into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs.You should therefore assess whether the advice is appropriate to your individual investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs. You should do this before making an investment decision based on this general advice. You can either make the assessment yourself or seek the help of a professional adviser.


This commentary is not a recommendation to buy or sell, but rather a guideline to interpreting the specified indicators. This information should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in securities trading. The Vulcan Report accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of this expert or its contents.liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of this expert or its contents.


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BULLS make money... BEARS make money.... PIGS get slaughtered!

"TAKE WHAT YOU CAN .........GIVE NOTHING BACK"!!  

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